Sunday, September 29, 2024

The latest collateral damage in the Middle East: Judaism.

 

 

By Hebraic Affairs Editor A.I. Cahan
with Middle East Correspondent Gertrude Bell in Beirut

The prospect of losing American democracy in an election in which its subverter has absolutely no chance of winning the popular vote was so depressing that we decided to look elsewhere for something cheerier to write about.

Good morning Beirut!

As the Jewish people prepare to usher in the New Year, it might be well to look back over the past year in the Middle East.

It's hard to think of a worse year for the Jews in the Middle East since about 70 CE.

Without trading charges about who did what 3,000 years ago (a staple of both sides' claims to a divine right to torment and kill the other), let's start on October 7, when the State of Israel suffered the worst military defeat and civilian massacre in its history at the hands of Hamas terrorists and cutthroats.  Hundreds of Israelis were hunted down, tortured, and slaughtered; hundred more were violently abducted and stuffed in Gaza tunnels to languish.  Over 70 are still there, although it's no longer clear how many are still alive.

You would that any Israeli Prime Minister who allowed this security collapse to occur would be shown the door at once.  Especially when that same Prime Minister green-lit payments of billions of dollars to those same terrorists as part of his scheme to permanently divide and weaken Palestinian governance.

Not so much, goyishce kopf.

For the past year, the multiply-indicted Bibi Netanyahu has kept an iron grip on power, having offered his people a year of staggering war and violence, whose grisly toll has apparently entertained many furious Israelis but done nothing to return the hostages or bring true safety or security to his nation.

First, he unleashed a horrific military campaign against Hamas in Gaza, knowing full well that the unrelenting indiscriminate violence and bombing against a guerilla army operating in a heavily populated civilian area would lead to vast civilian death and suffering.

And so it did.  Recent casualty figures from Gaza based on what the two sides report suggest that Israel has killed 17,000 Hamas combatants and 23,000 civilians in Gaza.  Israel has also made essentially all 2 million civilians in Gaza homeless refugees, living precariously in tents and on beaches, forced to flee from place to place by Israeli bombings anywhere it thinks it can find a Hamas fighter – in other words, anyplace in Gaza.

What Israel has not done is either free the remaining 74 Israeli hostages or wiped out Hamas as a fighting force. According to Israel's own estimates, there remain 13,000 Hamas fighters skulking around the tunnels under Gaza, ready and able to strike.

Now the bad news.

Eager to bask in the reflected, um, glory of the butchers of Hamas, long-time adversary Hezbollah, a terrorist movement that occupies and runs much of Lebanon, decided it would weigh in by unleashing its own wave of terror against Israel, supposedly in support of Hamas.

As a result of the Hezbollah assault, large portions of the North of Israel adjacent to Lebanon have been rendered uninhabitable, including significant places like Qiryat Sh'mona.  Its civilian population has been forced to flee south, a situation that Israelis properly regard as intolerable.

In response, as Israel has run out of targets in Gaza, it has unleashed its forces against Hezbollah, including blowing them up with sabotaged pagers and most recently dropping buildings on their leader, Nasrallah.

This escalation has resulted in the deaths of hundreds if not thousands of Lebanese civilians.  It has also brought the Middle East to the brink of catastrophe:

 

What Netanyahu hasn't succeeded in doing though is (1) neutralize the threat of Hezbollah or (2) make the North of Israel safe for Israelis.

Hezbollah has said that it is willing to suspend its campaign and allow life to return to normal in the North if and when Israel enters into a permanent cease-fire in Gaza.

That's the last thing Netanyahu wants.  He has brought the cease-fire negotiations to a standstill and insured that the hostages will be left to rot and die because he knows that a cease-fire would be the end of his regime:

Israelis now increasingly think that Netanyahu has reneged on withdrawal for two reasons: his self-serving (but effective) argument that political recriminations over the Oct. 7 debacle must be put aside during the fighting; and because the far-right parties that are key to his government have threatened to bring it down should he stop the war (they want, instead, to resettle Gaza with Jews).

There are only two beneficiaries of continued war in Gaza: Hamas and Netanyahu. Since those are parties that must agree to any cease-fire, it's not looking good.  And with no cease fire, the war in the North will continue and the population of Qiryat Sh'mona will be left to languish in exile.

Those far-right parties propping up Netanyahu's 64-vote coalition also want the war to go on without end to further their goal of the ethnic cleansing of Gaza (where they hope that if Israel continues to make life unbearable for the 2,000,000 remaining living Gazans, they will magically pack up and go somewhere else, although no one on Earth is prepared to take them in and they show no interest in leaving) and the West Bank, where they intend to subjugate the native Palestinian population in support of their objective of total Israeli control “from the river to the sea.”

According to the liberal Zionist group J Street:

With all eyes on the war in Gaza, the Netanyahu government is taking actions in the West Bank that abet settler violence, advance annexation, weaken the Palestinian Authority, destabilize the territory, and fuel rising Palestinian extremism and support for armed struggle. Top Israeli military brass warn of the eruption of ‘a third Intifada,’ while Shin Bet chief Ronen Bar warned Netanyahu that “terrorism” committed by extremist settlers “will lead to bloodshed and will unrecognizably change the face of the State of Israel.” 

The Biden Administration imposed sanctions on two settlers, but shows no appetite for going much further the month before the election.  The settler atrocities continue pretty much unchecked by the Israeli authorities:


Which leaves Netanyahu exactly where he wants to be: immune from political and legal accountability and hoping his buddy the Tangerine-Faced Felon will back him up should he sneak back into the White House.

That's great for Bibi and his hard-right extremist annexationists, but very bad for tens of thousands of dead civilians, most in Gaza, and hundreds of thousands of others, most Palestinians, whose lives have been ruined and endangered by this endless pointless effusion of blood.  

It's also not great for the remaining hostages and their families, who have little reason to expect anything but the worst, and for the civilian population of the North of Israel unable to return home.

There's one more victim here that should be not be overlooked amidst all the suffering: American Judaism, at least the non-frummie non-Likud variety.

Most American Jews do not cosplay as 17th Century Rumanian merchants; instead, they are part of movements like Reform, Conservative, or just unaffiliated but in the neighborhood.  One of the animating principles of those movements was Zionism, understood as building a progressive democratic Jewish state living in peace amongst its Arab neighbors. 

For generations American Jews have not only supported Israel; they have organized their communities around it.  The arrival of an Israeli Prime Minister on these shores was once the occasion for huge dinners to raise money for Israel Bonds and express solidarity with the struggle of the Jewish State.

Those were the days

Can you imagine mainstream American Jews renting the main ballroom of the New York Hilton to fete Bibi Netanyahu on one of his visits to the United States to variously lie to the word at the UN or interfere in U.S. politics by sucking up to Republican extremists?  

It doesn't happen.

That's because Zionism was not understood by our parents as bombing civilians to retain political power, terrorize West Bank residents to expand illegal Jewish settlements, or driving the indigenous Palestinian populations of Gaza and the West Bank into exile.

Or at least not until the Likud achieved unchallenged power in Israel.  Bibi's policies of unbridled expansionism and perpetual war are to put it modestly unpopular with American Jews, especially younger ones:

A recent study by the Jewish Identity Project of Reboot documented that on average, young Jews (35 and under) are considerably less attached to Israel, express less caring for Israel, less engaged with Israel, less supportive of Israel and score lower on overall scale of Israel attachment than Jews older than 35. Young Jewish Millennials and Gen Z increasingly see Israel as an occupying power oppressing Palestinians — a shock to their parents and grandparents, who tend to see it as an essential haven fighting for survival.

The frummie answer is to study more Torah, although you'd have to study it pretty hard before you found the part about bombing the civilian population of Gaza into oblivion. Actually, you could find it, but if you really regard Torah as a license to kill Palestinians, what kind of Torah do you have?  Not the one whose paths are peace and pleasantness. Why should anyone care about the Torah of Mass Destruction more than say the Epic of Gilgamesh?

The answer that younger (and some older) Jews have arrived at it is they shouldn't.  

The alienation of American Jews from their faith is yet another casualty of the Netanyahu/Likud campaign of perpetual war, brutality, and oppression.  It may not be as terrible as the death of thousands of innocents in Gaza, the West Bank, and Lebanon, but on this Rosh Hashonah we mourn it nonetheless.

Sunday, September 22, 2024

The crisis of American democracy: Both sides are too mean

By Florida Correspondent Jenny Herk
with Meta-Content Generator A.J. Liebling

WEST PALM BEACH, Fla. – This week we saw the inevitable outcome of the Republican policy of allowing hundreds of millions of high powered assault rifles to remain in the hands of anyone who wants one, including angry white male losers seeking to go out as a celebrity.

After what might have been another attempted assassination of the Tangerine-Faced Felon, he and his henchmen now doing business as the Republican Party immediately opened up their two page playbook and put in place both steps:

1.  Schnor for money; and

2.  Lie about and smear Democrats by claiming this deranged white man's desperate act was motivated by entirely legitimate criticism of the Tangerine-Faced Rapist. 

Sofa-bangin' running mate Jimmy Don Vontz lost no time in spreading the malignant talking point:

Mr. Vance said that Mr. Trump’s political opponents had crossed a line with their language, which he suggested had played a role in what the authorities are investigating as an assassination attempt directed at Mr. Trump while he was golfing in Florida on Sunday.

1932 Germany: why couldn't both sides tone it down?

“Look, we can disagree with one another, we can debate one another, but we cannot tell the American people that one candidate is a fascist and, if he’s elected, it is going to be the end of American democracy,” Mr. Vance said at a Georgia Faith & Freedom Coalition dinner. 

Even if it's true?

To its credit, The New York Times gagged on this one, pointing out 

Mr. Trump has called Ms. Harris a “fascist” on at least five occasions, including at a rally on Thursday in Arizona and during a news conference on Friday near Los Angeles.

“She’s a Marxist, communist, fascist, socialist,” Mr. Trump said in Tucson, Ariz.

At the dinner on Monday, Mr. Vance said that “no one has tried to kill Kamala Harris in the last couple of months.” The vice president has been the target of violent threats while in office.

Sometimes an invariable both-side lens actually focuses the discussion.

But more often putting on the both-sides specs distorts the picture out of all recognition.  Just yesterday, on WAMU's 1A, a writer for one of DC's most reliable fountains of lukewarm conventional wisdom, Axios, said (this is a verbatim transcript):

Yeah. I think we're basically walking into a tinderbox these next 6 weeks. And I think what you saw from the reaction of both Democrats and Republicans after the second, second attempt with an AK 47, is that there is no sense that the temperature is going to be taken down. Democrats basically responded either saying, that we need to, like, beef up Secret Service, but a lot of Democrats basically said, you know, it's Trump's fault, for increasing the dangerous rhetoric in the first place. And then Republicans countered that it was Democrats' fault for, you know, amping up the heated rhetoric in the first place. So that all that's to say and, you know, we can have a much longer conversation about who is, more responsible than what. But the the but the upshot is that we are headed in the last 6 weeks of presidential election, and neither side looks willing to actually, you know, bring down the temperature. And there is a lot of kindling here for political violence to really erupt and, you know, disrupt this election and the country.

Those dangerous Democrats – they're going to continue to say inflammatory stuff like the Republican candidate for President is a danger to democracy and the rule of law just because it happens to be, well, true.

The reliably useless Washington Post applied the same both-sides concealer to the current crisis:

Isn't it more dangerous to democracy to fail to point out that the Republican candidate if elected has already promised to end it?  Isn't that something an informed electorate has the right to know?  How can Democrats allow themselves to be bullied into not telling the truth about the Tangerine-Faced Fascist?

Republicans are so good at this kind of incendiary intimidation because they've had so much experience using it to their political advantage.  Was it already 20 years ago when the Democratic nominee, a Vietnam War hero named John Kerry, was vilely smeared as a traitor who did not merit the medals he had won for his combat service while his Republican opponent defending the skies over Waco, Texas and refused Vietnam service.  Yep:

Even leading Republicans said yesterday that things went a little too far when they had to publicly repudiate the actions of a delegate who was handing out adhesive bandages marked with Purple Hearts to mock Mr. Kerry's war wounds.

The bandages, distributed by Morton Blackwell of Arlington, Va., included a message that read, "It was just a self-inflicted scratch, but you see I got a Purple Heart for it." Mr. Blackwell said he was only trying to have fun, but the Military Order of The Purple Heart, an organization that says it represents wounded veterans, was not amused. ...

The Bush campaign and the party said they had nothing to do with the bandages and did not approve.

But even as they sought to distance themselves from the bandages, leading Republicans reprised a central accusation from the Swift boat group, which has said Mr. Kerry's testimony before the Senate in 1971 hurt American troops.

See the Republican two-step? Launch a vile false attack (immigrants eat kitties) and then back away to an equally false but more respectable position (Kerry's brave testimony about the futility of Nixon's war was somehow a betrayal of the troops).

You ll be unsurprised to know that the Democrats were intimidated out of attacking Bush's feckless failure to protect the nation from 9/11 because doing so in wartime would be “unpatriotic.”

Perhaps the rankest pre-Tangerine Faced Felon Republican smear was articulated by Republican hellhound Newt Gingrich, who pioneered the trick of tossing out incendiary lies while complaining that he was the victim of unfair attacks.   He led the scorched-Earth opposition to Bill Clinton, who had the nerve to win a Presidential election.

Here's his gem:

In 1994, Gingrich linked Democrats to Susan Smith, a woman who had murdered her two children in 1991.

"I think that the mother killing the two children in South Carolina vividly reminds every American how sick the society is getting and how much we need to change things," he said. "The only way you get change is to vote Republican."

Democrats support a mother killing her children? That's gotta be worse than eating kitties for dinner in Ohio!

When Vice President Gore suggested this comment was de trop, the New York Times gave it a few paragraphs on page A21 and then forget about the whole thing, because, well, when you're The New York Times you don't have to give a reason. 

(The Gingrich smear campaign worked.  The next day, the Republicans won the midterms and permanently crippled Bill Clinton's Presidency.)

Speaking of the Times and its terrible coverage of Republican lies and smears since at least 1994, its brightest expositor of conventional wisdom and whatever, Maggie Haberman, has responded to the drum beat of criticism of their terrible work with an exciting scoop of her own.

According to her reporting, it's not that media critics are motivated by dread over the threat to American democracy posed by the Tangerine-Faced Fascist and the unwillingness of the media to report the objective truth that democracy and the rule of law are on the ballot this year. 

That's not it.

The reason that critics are giving hacks like Maggie a hard time is because they are part of a vast industry which is apparently raking it in by daring to judge the quality of media coverage of the crisis of American democracy.


 

How did she know?

Here at the Spy, we have been cashing huge checks from this industry.  In fact we were thinking of using our winnings to pick up a little vacation property.

By the way, it was nice of Maggie to admit in an interview that the old demented Republican nominee speaks “incoherently.”  It would be even nicer if that obvious truth made it into her published coverage. It seems like an objective fact that voters might be interested in.

Another fact: repeating the kitties-on-the-grill smear without aggressively pointing out both its falsehood and the underlying bigotry works great – for Republicans.

According to the latest CBS News poll, 69% of TFF voters believe that immigrants are frying up both Tweety and Sylvester:



CBS News.

We'll submit that such insane results are strong evidence that Maggie and her brothers and sisters aren't doing their jobs.   

Sunday, September 8, 2024

Fact-Checking The New York Times: This Needs...Everything

 

Editors' Note:  Many years ago, the Times fired their Public Editor, claiming that the job was no longer necessary because the Internets would keep them honest.  (The former Public Editor, Margaret Sullivan, is now covering media for The Guardian and killing it.)  To help Ms. Sullivan, we have appointed our own Public Editor who among his other duties fact-checks the Times to provide the objective context that  you the reader deserve for your $2000 a year Times subscription.  


By A.J. Liebling
Public Editor


What They Said:

September 6, 2024

Less than nine weeks before Election Day, former President Donald J. Trump summoned journalists to the lobby of Trump Tower in Manhattan and then spent 45 minutes recounting in detail multiple sexual harassment allegations against him, lashing out at the women who made them and casting himself as the victim. 

This omits needed context.

In fact Trump once again publicly defamed E. Jean Carroll, whom he sexually assaulted in the dressing room of a Manhattan department store, leaving himself open for a third massive civil verdict. 

He also brought up another sexual assault allegation and dismissed it on the grounds that the victim wasn't attractive enough to rape.

What They Said:

September 6, 2024

Just a day earlier, on Wednesday, Senator JD Vance, the Republican vice-presidential nominee, responded to a similar question about child care with a nearly equally confusing answer at an event in Mesa, Ariz.

“Maybe Grandma and Grandpa wants to help out a little bit more,” Mr. Trump’s running mate, Senator JD Vance of Ohio, right, said on Wednesday in response to a question about child care.

Mr. Vance, like Mr. Trump, acknowledged that the issue of affordable child care was “such an important question.” But his initial answer was that parents should get help from grandparents or aunts and uncles.

“Maybe Grandma and Grandpa wants to help out a little bit more,” Mr. Vance said. 

This is misleading.

As the detail implies, there was nothing “confusing” about Vance's position on government assistance with child care.  Like the last 60 years of Republican candidates, he opposes using government funds to help parents out with the immense costs of child care.

What They Said:

September 5, 2024

Former President Donald J. Trump called for the creation of a government efficiency commission in an economic speech in New York on Thursday, adopting a policy idea that was pitched to him by the billionaire businessman Elon Musk.

Mr. Trump said that Mr. Musk would also lead the commission, which would conduct a sweeping audit of the federal government and recommend “drastic reforms” for cutting waste. He said the commission would save “trillions of dollars.”

In a wide-ranging and sometimes meandering speech that lasted more than an hour, Mr. Trump recast his first-term record as an economic miracle and renewed his pitch for lowering taxes and raising tariffs on imports, often disregarding some of the potential implications of his new proposals. 

This is misleading.

This is what Trump said:  

Well, I would do that, and we’re sitting down, and I was, somebody, we had Sen. Marco Rubio, and my daughter Ivanka was so impactful on that issue. It’s a very important issue. But I think when you talk about the kind of numbers that I’m talking about, that, because, look, child care is child care. You have to have it — in this country you have to have it.

But when you talk about those numbers compared to the kind of numbers that I’m talking about by taxing foreign nations at levels that they’re not used to — but they’ll get used to it very quickly — and it’s not going to stop them from doing business with us, but they’ll have a very substantial tax when they send product into our country. Those numbers are so much bigger than any numbers that we’re talking about, including child care, that it’s going to take.

I look forward to having no deficits within a fairly short period of time, coupled with the reductions that I told you about on waste and fraud and all of the other things that are going on in our country, because I have to stay with child care. I want to stay with child care, but those numbers are small relative to the kind of economic numbers that I’m talking about, including growth, but growth also headed up by what the plan is that I just told you about.

We’re going to be taking in trillions of dollars, and as much as child care is talked about as being expensive, it’s, relatively speaking, not very expensive compared to the kind of numbers we’ll be taking in. We’re going to make this into an incredible [country that can] afford to take care of its people, and then we’ll worry about the rest of the world. Let’s help other people, but we’re going to take care of our country first. This is about America first. It’s about Make America Great Again, we have to do it because right now we’re a failing nation, so we’ll take care of it. Thank you. Very good question. Thank you.

As others including Parker Molloy have pointed out, these words are incoherent and even if parsed in the light most favorable to Trump insane because his ruinous tariffs will first never be imposed and if they are will not generate nearly enough money to pay for childcare.  Further, Trump did not in fact outline any particular policy for helping with childcare costs other than the false claim there will be plenty of money. 

Finally, the idea of appointing a ketamine-addled Fascist who most recently lost $30 billion on Twitter is ridiculous and, as the piece points out, brimming with conflict of interest, because Elno has trousered billions from government contracts.

What They Said:

September 3, 2024

Journalism: it's failed before

Asked for examples of the technique, the Trump campaign provided what it called a “masterclass weave” — a four-minute, 20-second video of the candidate speaking at a rally in Asheville, N.C., in August in which he bounces from energy bills to Hunter Biden’s laptop to Venezuelan tar to mental institutions in Caracas to migrant crime to “the green new scam” to Vice President Kamala Harris.

In its disjointed way, it did all sort of seem to wend back to why he thinks he should be president again.

“Unlike Kamala Harris, who can’t put together a coherent sentence without a teleprompter, President Trump speaks for hours, telling multiple impressive stories at the same time,” said Karoline Leavitt, a spokeswoman for Mr. Trump. “Kamala Harris could never.”

This is really missing the point

Trump's inability to talk coherently is not just a quirk of his personality; it shows that he lacks the cognitive capacity to serve as President.  Given the Times's 152 stories questioning Biden's mental state, it beggars comprehension for the Times to tie itself up into pretzels to avoid grappling with the efflorescence of Trump's dementia.  [Joe, take a deep breath – Ed.]

What They Said:

September 7, 2024

Mr. Trump has repeatedly called for prosecutions against people who he believes have wronged him.

If he's not making any sense, you have to say so!

After he was indicted by the federal government for the first time in 2023, Mr. Trump vowed to have a “real special prosecutor” who would go after President Biden and his family if he won the presidency in 2024.

On Friday, speaking to reporters in the lobby of Trump Tower, in Manhattan, Mr. Trump said the criticisms of judges by Democrats “should be illegal” and that the Justice Department should look into “the legality of these people” attacking jurists like Aileen Cannon, the federal judge he appointed who recently dismissed an indictment against him. 

This fails to make the obviously true and unarguable point that Trump is promising to obstruct justice and attack democracy again

By simply reporting his threats without making it clear that if carried out they would subvert democracy and the rule of law, the Times is effectively admitting these threats into the universe of acceptable political discourse, thus normalizing these terrifying statements. [Joe, lighten up here.  We're supposed to be taking a calm detached perspective. – Ed.]

What They Said:

August 17, 2024

If only someone had called out hate speech in time

Former President Donald J. Trump in a campaign speech on Saturday bounced among complaints about the economy and immigration, wide-ranging digressions and a number of personal attacks on Vice President Kamala Harris, including jabs at her appearance and her laugh.

At a rally in Wilkes-Barre, Pa., Mr. Trump swung from talking points on inflation and criticisms of Democratic policy as “fascist” and “Marxist” to calling illegal immigrants “savage monsters” and saying that rising sea levels would create more beachfront property.

This is a perverse effort to normalize bats**t crazy lies and rants and appeals to raw bigotry. 

How can you repeat these revolting lies without first debunking them and then noting that at least with respect to immigration and the attacks on VP Harris, are nothing more than appeals to bigots from a deranged hatemonger?  What possible justification could there be for not pointing out these facts so that readers will understand the true nature of the Republican candidate and his appeal?  By simply repeating their crude smears, the Times gives them a plausibility that only increases with each repetition of these lies and slurs.  No one who has even a particle of regard for the tenets of journalism could possibly – [Joe, I think you better lie down for a while. – Ed.]

Sunday, September 1, 2024

The Spy's peerless political prognosticator handicaps the 2024 Presidential horse race

 

Editors' Note: After one of the most eventful Presidential seasons in history, and with both party's nominees chosen, we thought it was high time to check in with the Spy's master political prognosticator David Bloviator to tell us what really matters this year: who's ahead and why.  After months of deeply-sourced reporting from his vantage points at Convention lounges and swing-state watering holes, David [That's Mr. Bloviator to you – DB] is ready once again to share his peerless insights with you, the reader desperately in search of objective, balanced coverage that can be found no place else, outside of every newspaper and media outlet.  We caught up with him at the Brats 'n Suds in the bellwether town of Kroenenwetter, Wisconsin. 

TMS:    Good afternoon, Mr. Bloviator.  What can you tell us about on the status of the Presidential campaigns?

DB: I can tell you I spotted a bottle of Chivas behind the bar.  Why don't you do something about it?  

TMS: Gladly.  Double Chivas-rocks for Mr. Bloviator.

The great seer calls the horserace.

DB: [inhales his drink]  Ah, now I can share with you what I have learned about the 2024 Presidential election.

TMS: Which is?

DB:  It is neck and neck.  It is too close to call.  It is tighter than a tick's duffel bag.  

TMS: That's not even an expression. 

DB:  Dan Rather used it in 1982.  Take it up with him. 

TMS: Tell us about the political landscape.   

DB: Replacing much too old Joe Biden with Kamala has brought the Democrats back into a race that they were on track to lose to the much younger and obviously much more vibrant Donald J. Trump. 

TMS: Speaking of which is there any media concern about the evidence of Trump's cognitive decline and mental state, given his increasingly incoherent rants at rallies and his unwillingness to sit down for an interview with media not controlled by right-wing plutocrats?  The media spent months telling us Joe Biden was too old.  Trump's 78, only three years younger.

DB: Of course not.  People are used to Trump's rambling style.  It makes him relatable. 

TMS: But Joe Biden's missteps made him unelectable.  Isn't there a double standard at work here?  

DB:  Speaking of doubles, I'll take another one.  [Gestures to bartender]

TMS: Let's break down the race.

DB:  It all comes down to the swing states.  This election will be decided by them.  

TMS: Isn't it a bad thing that the survival of American democracy will be decided by voters in only seven or eight states?  It's almost like most of us don't have a voice. 

Our pundit has been taking the pulse of the heartland

DB:  That's the genius of the Electoral College, son.  You have to admire the wisdom of the Founding Fathers. 

TMS: Why?  A bunch of white slaveholders who rigged the vote?   

DB: Don't you have any respect for the wisdom of our forefathers?  Without the Electoral College, we could face the tyranny of the majority. 

TMS: So it's better to endure the tyranny of the minority, as we did in 2000 and 2016?  Anyway, what's the situation in swing states?

DB: In the Blue Wall midwestern states, Harris has taken a slight lead, although her flip-flops on fracking could spell trouble in the must-win state of Pennsylvania. 

TMS: Isn't it common for candidates to moderate their message from primary to general election campaigns?  Isn't that what Trump is doing by backing away from his opposition to abortion?   

DB:  It's totally different.  Kamala is flip-flopping.  Trump is attempting to thread the needle on a difficult issue.

TMS: Can I ask why you refer to the Democratic candidate by her first name but the Republican candidate by his surname?  

DB:  Can I ask why my glass is empty?  [Gestures to bartender]-----

TMS: More generally, isn't the abortion issue breaking in favor of the Democrats, especially given the number of referenda to overturn state abortion bans?

DB:  It's just another example of identity politics.  The polls show that the economy is the most important issue.  

TMS: Isn't the economy in good shape?  Inflation has fallen, unemployment remains low, and the Federal Reserve is about to cut interest rates. 

DB:  But people remember how much prices have gone up since 2020. 

TMS: You mean when everyone was cowering in their houses, terrified of a fatal pandemic?   

DB: Do you have any idea how much the price of bacon has gone up in the last four years? 

TMS: Do you?

DB: I can't waste time on trivia like that.  But I know that the average voter knows and he doesn't like it one bit. 

TMS: Speaking of bacon, aren't shrewd media pundits like you concerned about Trump's deranged rants, like the one where he connected the price of bacon to windmills?    

DB:  I'm more concerned about this empty glass. 

Trump's base remains firmly loyal, David says

TMS: Another double for Mr. Bloviator.  Now why isn't Trump's cognitive decline a legitimate issue in this campaign?

DB: You don't understand.  His base has heard him ramble like this for years and they are used to it.   

TMS: Isn't it the job of the media to point out when a candidate is manifestly unfit for office?    

DB:  Within the boundaries of objectivity and balance.  Why has Kamala done only one media interview since getting the nomination?  That's concerning to many observers.

TMS: Really?  Who?

DB:  Everyone who thinks they are entitled to an interview, obviously.   

TMS: Let's talk about the Vice Presidential nominees. What's your take on JD Vance?

DB:  Vance helps Trump reach out to a key constituency – sad single guys who live in their mom's basement.  Vance is their hero. 

TMS: And Tim Walz?   

DB: Clearly he's on the ticket because Democrats have a serious problem with white men.

TMS: You mean that white men are motivated by racism and misogyny?   

DB: That's because coastal elites are always demeaning them.

TMS: As racist and misogynist?   

DB: They're just fun-loving frat boys at heart who are worried about what immigrants are doing to this country.

TMS: What are immigrants doing to this country?   

What white male voters want

DB: Trump's voters have a justifiable concern about letting in millions of people into this country who don't speak English.

TMS: What concern?  It's not like those loser guys are going to pick strawberries and change bedpans in nursing homes themselves

DB: They just want to go back to the good old days.

TMS: The good old days of coat-hanger abortions and enforced segregation? 

DB: Now you're catching on.  

TMS: We're almost out of money, uh, time.  Let's step back and ask if this horse-race coverage isn't obscuring the real issue facing the country this year.

DB:  The real issue?  What on earth are you babbling about? 

TMS: I'm talking about the fact that the future of American democracy is on the ballot.  The Republican candidate has previously tried to overthrow the government and promised to act like a dictator if elected.  Isn't that terrifying?   

DB: He's only going to be a dictator on day one. 

TMS: How many days do you need to dismantle democracy?

DB: The pressure is on Kamala to explain what's at stake this year. 

TMS: But not on you and your fellow pundits, it seems.  [Pays tab] Thank you, Mr. Bloviator.